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OCI NL0010558797

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OCI - 2020

5.859 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 ... 230 231 232 233 234 ... 293 »» | Laatste | Omlaag ↓
  1. [verwijderd] 2 oktober 2020 15:54
    Je blijft je verbazen !

    Fertilizer Prices in U.S. Surge to Decade High Amid Import Probe
    Bloomberg
    Justina Vasquez
    ,Bloomberg•October 1, 2020

    Fertilizer Prices in U.S. Surge to Decade High Amid Import Probe
    More
    (Bloomberg) -- Phosphate fertilizer prices in the U.S. corn belt had their biggest quarter in a decade as buyers cope with a supply shock caused by potential import duties against Morocco and Russia.

    Midwest prices for diammonium phosphate, or DAP, jumped 29% in the third quarter, the most since 2010, according to a Green Markets index. Prices for a lower concentration phosphate fertilizer also surged the most in a decade, by 34%. The two chemicals make up the primary component for many phosphate-based fertilizers used by American crop farmers.

    Prices spiked after U.S. fertilizer firm Mosaic Co. petitioned the U.S. Department of Commerce and U.S. International Trade Commission in June, saying that fertilizer imports from Morocco and Russia were unfairly subsidized. That prompted an investigation and raised the prospect of countervailing duties. The two countries are the largest sources of the commodity for the U.S. in the most recent crop year, through June.

    Read More: Mosaic Rises Most in Two Weeks Amid Phosphate Trade Dispute

    The U.S. imported more than 2 million metric tons of phosphate fertilizers from Morocco last year, valued at $729.4 million, according to an International Trade Administration report citing U.S. Census Bureau figures. Imports from Russia totaled more than 767,000 metric tons and were worth $299.4 million.

    Russia’s largest producer, PhosAgro PJSC, recently said it stopped shipping products to the U.S. due to the investigation and is rerouting those volumes to Canada, Brazil and Russia.

    The value of U.S. purchases from the fertilizer import market fell 57% from the end May to the end of July, according to U.S. Census Bureau data, sending a supply shock through the industry and driving up domestic prices.

    “Russian and Moroccan suppliers have slowed imports to the U.S., and that’s tightened up supply and also contributed to rising prices,” Alexis Maxwell, research director at Bloomberg’s Green Markets, said in a phone interview.

    The import slowdown means Mosaic now holds more than 90% of the production market for phosphates in the U.S. -- increasing the influence of the Plymouth, Minnesota-based company, she said.

    “The fact that they can move the U.S. market so dramatically is because, effectively, they’re pretty much the only one left,” Maxwell said.

    The U.S. may cushion the cutback on Moroccan and Russian imports by seeking supply from China, the world largest finished phosphates producer, said Samuel Taylor, North American inputs analyst at Rabobank.

    “These countervailing duties scared people on supply,” Taylor said in an phone interview. “If we do get countervailing duties put in place, you’re probably just likely to see a change in global trade flows, but you’re not necessarily going to see any production limitations.”

    For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com
  2. forum rang 6 BultiesBrothers 2 oktober 2020 16:03
    quote:

    jessebrown schreef op 2 oktober 2020 15:54:

    The import slowdown means Mosaic now holds more than 90% of the production market for phosphates in the U.S. -- increasing the influence of the Plymouth, Minnesota-based company, she said.

    “The fact that they can move the U.S. market so dramatically is because, effectively, they’re pretty much the only one left,” Maxwell said.

    Hoezo hebben ze dit even lekker voor zichzelf gelobbyd daar in de VS, haha
    Uiteindelijk zijn de boeren ook weer de pisang met deze hoge prijzen lijkt mij?
  3. [verwijderd] 2 oktober 2020 16:14
    Voor de cijfers van 2kwartaal OCI de 12,50 aangetikt,na de cijfers moest het weer terug en marktpartijen trapte zo diep mogelijk,de peers in de VS bleven oplopen CF naar de 35 en o.a.Mos was een verhaal apart want dat verdrievoudigde van 6,5 naar de 19.......nee OCI de dieperik in kost wat het kost en 9,70 tikte het aan,de update van deze week dat OCI het veel beter doet! en wat zie je
    met de peers al 2 weken zeer zwak en CF inmiddels onder de 30 en ja OCI boven de 11,zien marktpartijen dan eindelijk? of is dit gewoon het spel ,particulieren de tent uit jagen en dan mag het hoger
  4. forum rang 6 BultiesBrothers 2 oktober 2020 16:45
    quote:

    jessebrown schreef op 2 oktober 2020 16:14:

    Voor de cijfers van 2kwartaal OCI de 12,50 aangetikt,na de cijfers moest het weer terug en marktpartijen trapte zo diep mogelijk,de peers in de VS bleven oplopen CF naar de 35 en o.a.Mos was een verhaal apart want dat verdrievoudigde van 6,5 naar de 19.......nee OCI de dieperik in kost wat het kost en 9,70 tikte het aan,de update van deze week dat OCI het veel beter doet! en wat zie je
    met de peers al 2 weken zeer zwak en CF inmiddels onder de 30 en ja OCI boven de 11,zien marktpartijen dan eindelijk? of is dit gewoon het spel ,particulieren de tent uit jagen en dan mag het hoger
    Als je puur kijkt naar 52weeks ATL, dan staat CF nu op zo'n 52% hoger, OCI daarentegen staat pas op 11.65 op hetzelfde procentuele niveau. En Yara doet het nog slechter (28%). Maar dit is allemaal maar relatief..

  5. forum rang 6 Ruval 2 oktober 2020 17:56
    quote:

    moneymaker_BX schreef op 2 oktober 2020 17:18:

    Ik denk dat de CEO een bod gaat doen op zijn eigen toko...nabeurs...koers ligt als een dijk
    Waar baseer je dit op?

    Volgens mij ligt koers ‘gewoon’ beter door langzaam stijgende prijzen en recente herfinanciering?
  6. forum rang 6 BultiesBrothers 2 oktober 2020 23:56
    Mooie week achter de rug. Hopelijk gaan we komende week de hogere regionen opzoeken en uitbreken.

    Hier nog een artikeltje om het weekend mee in te gaan. Laat die Nola markt maar lekker aantrekken komende weken:

    HOUSTON (ICIS)--Barge trading within the New Orleans (Nola) market underwent an uptick this week with more volumes changing hands for delivery this month. As the crop harvest continues to move forward at a steady pace, and with fall weather conditions not yet emerging, there remain expectations that the need for nutrients will start to climb quickly over this month, especially for urea. That outlook of future demand explains the concentration by market participants on H1 October deliveries, which is when most of the deals done this week are set to ship. Prices took a further dip early in the week before they started to rebound with the Nola trades assessed this week at $208-220/short ton FOB. There was a prompt trading at $224/short ton FOB that was labelled as origin specific, and not reflective of the current market. It was not included in the range. On Friday the the market participation was well retreated and absent of new trading, with full October barges bid-offered at $213-218/short ton FOB. “I don’t think there’s any end user buying going on. I think traders pushed Nola down too far to get barges priced, then India tender is is announced coinciding with a bump in grain prices and CF being rumoured to be buying a couple urea barges,” said a market participant. The pending Mississippi river closure has not sparked any urgency at this point, with the halting of transportation expected to take getting underway over the next few weeks, depending on destination. With weather overall still favourable along the river corridor, it is possible some dates could get extended as there has not been any onset of early winter conditions. At the terminals, with weather still trending more like summer than fall the amount of activity remains reduced. Right now farmers are more worried about finishing harvest than next round of applications. Terminal values were last heard around $260/short ton ex-tank. The Nola market also continues to watch international developments and look for some positive break with many still eager to see what happens next with India now that it has issued another import tender, which is closing 9 October for shipments by 16 November. “I expect the international market to remain somewhat stable over the next couple weeks but then give way to pressure of having an oversupplied market and India being satisfied, for the most part, after this tender. I expect this drift to start in the second half of the month,” said a seller. While India’s outcome is certainly essential, there are also still questions over China and its eventually output, as well as the course that Brazil takes, and what impacts those developments could have on Nola direction. “China will be a large factor in this market with where pricing is today and the lack of demand they are seeing at the moment. I expect the the traders to try to push the prices up in Brazil over the next few weeks as well,” said market source “If we continue to see a lack of imports in Nola, watch out, we will then see a bullish Nola market, especially with the way this corn market has been appreciating.”
  7. [verwijderd] 3 oktober 2020 11:10
    B
    quote:

    StefinStocks schreef op 3 oktober 2020 08:57:

    [...]
    Zeker :-)
    OCI als veilige haven... het kan verkeren. Maar een zwaluw maakt nog geen zomer. Eerst nog een barre winter voor de boeg. Benieuwd of OCI ook stand gaat houden van in de eerstvolgende herfststorm.
  8. [verwijderd] 3 oktober 2020 11:54
    quote:

    watergordijn schreef op 3 oktober 2020 11:10:

    B[...]

    OCI als veilige haven... het kan verkeren. Maar een zwaluw maakt nog geen zomer. Eerst nog een barre winter voor de boeg. Benieuwd of OCI ook stand gaat houden van in de eerstvolgende herfststorm.
    Een barre winter?
    OCI levert wereldwijd dus het is altijd ergens winter lente zomer herfst en wordt er gezaaid en geoogst tegelijk alleen aan de andere kant van de wereld al is de hoeveelheid landbouw niet overal evenveel.
  9. forum rang 6 BultiesBrothers 3 oktober 2020 14:42
    HOUSTON (ICIS)--Spot prices in the US methanol market were up week on week, as buying interest picked up following the October the October contract settlement that was up by 17%. Regionally, restarts and shutdowns remain mixed as some plants are coming back online after being idled for economic reasons while others are taking advantage of the time to perform maintenance activities. Spot prices were assessed at 83-85 cents/gal free on board (FOB) stronger than the previous week at 79--83 cents/gal FOB. Spot pricing still remains at six-month highs. According to ICIS price history, the last time prices were trading higher than this was in the week ended 13 March, when prices were assessed at 83-93 cents/gal FOB. Methanol is primarily used to produce formaldehyde, methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) and acetic acid. Smaller amounts go into production of dimethyl terephthalate (DMT) methyl methacrylate (MMA), chloromethanes, methylamines, glycol methyl ethers, and fuels applications such as dimethyl ether (DME), biodiesel and the direct blending into gasoline. Major US Methanol producers include Methanex OCI, Celanese and LyondellBasell.
  10. [verwijderd] 3 oktober 2020 19:32
    quote:

    R0ME0 schreef op 3 oktober 2020 11:54:

    [...]

    Een barre winter?
    OCI levert wereldwijd dus het is altijd ergens winter lente zomer herfst en wordt er gezaaid en geoogst tegelijk alleen aan de andere kant van de wereld al is de hoeveelheid landbouw niet overal evenveel.
    Ik bedoelde ook het beursklimaat. Ik zal beter formuleren.
  11. forum rang 6 BultiesBrothers 3 oktober 2020 19:37
    www.profercy.com/2020/10/nitrogen-ind...

    After more than a month’s wait, India’s return to the urea market was confirmed this week with state-purchasing agency RCF issuing a tender on 30 September.

    The inquiry will close on 9 October for shipments to load by 16 November, and is the first since the 26 August MMTC tender through which nearly 1.8m. tonnes were secured for shipment by 5 October.

    In spite of this, the reaction to the news in the urea market was not overwhelmingly bullish, and the Profercy World Nitrogen Index tracked sideways to 113.84 points, down 0.46 from last week. This said, moderate price gains have been seen in the derivatives market in the past 24 hours with November Arab Gulf contracts trading at $260pt fob.

    In China physical values have fallen over recent weeks, and small lots of prills have been sold into SE Asian markets below $255pt fob. With the domestic market remaining slow, and plenty of availability for October shipments, it is expected that China will once again supply big volumes in the latest tender. However, Chinese suppliers may have some ability to hold prices, or even raise export values, should they exercise volume restraint.

    In the west, Egyptian granular urea was sold at $280pt fob just over a month ago. However, in the absence of any significant buying demand over the past month, values have declined with offers from some producers earlier this week reaching as low as $250pt fob in order to secure business. Prices consolidated in the mid to high-$250s pt fob as the week progressed and further business took place.

    Echoing the volatility in the international market, US Gulf urea barge values for October dipped below $210ps ton fob Nola, before increasing midweek on news of India’s return to the market.

    Over the next week the market will now look for direction from India and China. While the majority of the 1.8m. tonnes that was booked under the previous MMTC tender are expected to arrive in India in October, a surge in demand seen during the past few months means India’s urea stock levels still remain very low. With the world’s largest importer requiring major Chinese participation to book the volumes it still requires, all eyes now look to China ahead of the next RCF tender.
  12. [verwijderd] 3 oktober 2020 23:15
    quote:

    watergordijn schreef op 3 oktober 2020 19:32:

    [...]

    Ik bedoelde ook het beursklimaat. Ik zal beter formuleren.
    Ow, haha, ok, tja dat zal allemaal van corona afhangen.
  13. forum rang 6 Ruval 4 oktober 2020 20:32
    quote:

    R0ME0 schreef op 3 oktober 2020 23:15:

    [...]

    Ow, haha, ok, tja dat zal allemaal van corona afhangen.
    Afgelopen week een goede beursweek voor OCI ondersteund door positieve berichten vanuit zowel sector als bedrijf. Wat zijn jullie verwachtingen tot Q3 cijfers?
  14. forum rang 4 eduardo3105 4 oktober 2020 20:35
    quote:

    Ruval schreef op 4 oktober 2020 20:32:

    [...]
    Afgelopen week een goede beursweek voor OCI ondersteund door positieve berichten vanuit zowel sector als bedrijf. Wat zijn jullie verwachtingen tot Q3 cijfers?
    Dat we langzaam weer naar de weerstand van 12,50 gaan. De cijfers en vooruitzichten zullen bepalend zijn of we daar nu wel doorheen gaan.
  15. forum rang 6 Ruval 4 oktober 2020 21:20
    quote:

    eduardo3105 schreef op 4 oktober 2020 20:35:

    [...]
    Dat we langzaam weer naar de weerstand van 12,50 gaan. De cijfers en vooruitzichten zullen bepalend zijn of we daar nu wel doorheen gaan.
    Ik heb niet zoveel met technische analyse. Iedereen praat hier onze Belgische (?) vriend Waregem na dat de koers eerst naar 12,50 moet...???
  16. forum rang 6 Goudmijn64 4 oktober 2020 22:02
    quote:

    Ruval schreef op 4 oktober 2020 21:20:

    [...]
    Ik heb niet zoveel met technische analyse. Iedereen praat hier onze Belgische (?) vriend Waregem na dat de koers eerst naar 12,50 moet...???
    kniesoor die er op let, maar het is 12,47 (maar dan wel stap per stap)
    maar dat hebben we recent al een keer bereikt en helaas zijn we niet doorgestoten naar de 15 euro (wat onze Waregem steeds aangeeft), maar zijn we weer naar beneden gegaan
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